Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.142249e-03 0.001294 0.001447 0.001611 0.001783 0.001957 0.002146
2025-08-31 9.194395e-04 0.001138 0.001365 0.001617 0.001886 0.002164 0.002470
2025-09-07 7.637956e-04 0.001033 0.001321 0.001649 0.002006 0.002380 0.002799
2025-09-14 5.962177e-04 0.000896 0.001230 0.001619 0.002051 0.002510 0.003030
2025-09-21 4.953620e-04 0.000824 0.001202 0.001651 0.002158 0.002703 0.003326
2025-09-28 4.321704e-04 0.000789 0.001211 0.001721 0.002304 0.002935 0.003661
2025-10-05 3.445889e-04 0.000714 0.001166 0.001724 0.002370 0.003077 0.003894
2025-10-12 2.821837e-04 0.000663 0.001145 0.001751 0.002460 0.003242 0.004152
2025-10-19 2.093271e-04 0.000587 0.001088 0.001731 0.002493 0.003341 0.004333
2025-10-26 1.554106e-04 0.000530 0.001049 0.001729 0.002544 0.003457 0.004532
2025-11-02 1.040960e-04 0.000466 0.000996 0.001706 0.002568 0.003541 0.004691
2025-11-09 7.164232e-05 0.000425 0.000971 0.001716 0.002629 0.003664 0.004893
2025-11-16 1.757798e-05 0.000321 0.000864 0.001637 0.002605 0.003716 0.005047
2025-11-23 2.033730e-07 0.000261 0.000813 0.001629 0.002666 0.003868 0.005315
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000220 0.000787 0.001651 0.002765 0.004065 0.005637
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000160 0.000721 0.001615 0.002790 0.004174 0.005857
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000132 0.000703 0.001644 0.002894 0.004375 0.006184
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000120 0.000713 0.001711 0.003046 0.004633 0.006574
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000089 0.000679 0.001712 0.003112 0.004787 0.006845
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000069 0.000663 0.001739 0.003209 0.004978 0.007155
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000042 0.000618 0.001718 0.003244 0.005092 0.007376
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000024 0.000587 0.001716 0.003301 0.005231 0.007625
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000009 0.000544 0.001693 0.003330 0.005335 0.007830